Monday, May 23, 2016

Renewal odds 5/23/16: 'Hellevator', 'Skin Wars', 'Idiotest'

Hellevator: Season 2 currently casting with 4 hour-long episodes coming this Fall (with changes). Chance of renewal (for Season 2): 100% (flat)

Skin Wars: Even with last week's series low, there is still no doubt that Skin Wars will have its fourth season. GSN should be concerned about the declining ratings. Potential changes to Skin Wars could be coming. Chance of renewal (for Season 4): 99% (flat)

Idiotest: In the first five Tuesdays (April 12-May 10), Idiotest averaged 341,000 total viewers and 102,000 18-49 viewers. I always exclude the April 20th airing, which followed Political Idiotest, but inserting that episode into the mix lowers the 11-episode average to 331,000 total viewers and 99,000 18-49 viewers. With both averages, the percentage of viewers under 50 years of age for Idiotest remains at 30%, meaning the median viewer age is approximately 57 (great for GSN). There is the good news.

Comparing the first ten episodes of this current season of Idiotest to the first ten in Season 2 in their regular Tuesday airings, this season of Idiotest is down 13% in total viewers and also down 22% in 18-49 viewers. There is the bad news.

With only 13 of 40 Idiotest episodes aired so far this season (with the 14th and 15th airing tomorrow), it's still far too early to tell-or even lean-to a renewal or cancellation decision for Idiotest. I do believe a month from now we will have a much better picture based on how Winsanity performs. If Winsanity, GSN's newest traditional game show (in the same department as Idiotest) becomes this runaway hit with a median viewer age of 40 and Idiotest continues its year-to-year-to-year slump, then GSN could move away from Idiotest and more towards Winsanity. A Winsanity success is "possible", but Winsanity being a smash hit (similar to Bible and Skin Wars) is unlikely. Still, I do believe an Idiotest renewal is reliant on Winsanity success. Chance of renewal (for Season 4): 65% (flat)


  1. since it is a Retared Network when is Man Vs Fly And i disagree This more than likely will be the final season of Skin Wars and to everybody Cancelling Chase and not re-aquiring sale of the century and allowing 25,000 pyramid lease to expire is The Family Feud Network this after all is a Network that did not honor JIM PERRY

  2. I think Winsanity will have moderate to positive success on Thursdays. The summer is coming and GSN had success on Thursday nights last summer. Idiotest outta move to 9 pm because it might have better numbers after the 8 pm Feud. I think if both shows skew young but have so so total viewers, both shows might stay on the schedule. If Winsanity does become a runaway hit, I think it's goodbye for Idiotest. But this is GSN, the same network who thought Hellevator was good enough for another season despite terrible ratings while Chase and Chain Reaction were rid of despite excellent ratings.

    "Potential changes to Skin Wars could be coming"

    Well yeah, if it moved to 9 pm and a couple of reruns were pulled, there would be changes.

    "when is Man Vs Fly"

    No. Just no. That thing bombed big time and should not return to GSN.

  3. This is totally off-topic but I figure my best chance of solving this is by asking in a place where alot of game show aficionados hang out lol.
    Some of my earliest childhood memories are of watching old game shows on weekday afternoons on USA in the early 90s. And part of those old memories is this recurring ad that seemed to air on almost every commercial break, in fact I think it was somehow related to the game shows given how frequently they appeared. A man in a suit would advertise a 900 number in front of a blue trapezoid with dots on it against a purple background. It aired constantly in the early 90s on USA during daytime programming. I'd love to finally know what the context of those ads were (I'd assume it wasn't anything adult considering it was aired in the daytime) and if there happens to be any clips of them online anywhere

  4. It sounds a lot like "Lucky Day USA"?

    1. Holy hell that's totally it!! Thank you!!!