Monday, April 25, 2016

Renewal odds 4/25/16: 'Hellevator', 'Skin Wars', 'Idiotest'

Last week's renewal odds

Hellevator: Renewed for a second season at the upfronts. 4 new episodes coming this Fall. Chance of renewal (for Season 2): 100% (flat)

Skin Wars: Despite a near series low in total viewers and an actual series low in 18-49 viewers for last week's premiere, there is no doubt that Skin Wars will be back for a forth season. Even last week's below average (for Skin Wars standards) premiere numbers are renewable numbers by GSN standards. Chance of renewal (for Season 4): 99%

Idiotest: The first two weeks of Idiotest (only counting the 4 episodes that have aired on Tuesdays) have averaged 337,000 total viewers and 96,000 18-49 viewers. Comparing the first two weeks of Season 2, the first two weeks of this season are down 5% in total viewers and down 35% in 18-49 viewers. That's not including last Wednesday's episode with 228,000 total viewers and 69,000 18-49 viewers (which rebounded slightly from Political Idiotest).

I will give it a couple more weeks of low ratings to lower the renewal odds for Idiotest. Unless Winsanity blows the doors off or Idiotest ratings completely fall over, I think Idiotest has a relatively good shot at renewal. Chance of renewal (for Season 4): 55%

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