Monday, October 12, 2015

Renewal odds 10/12/15: 'Skin Wars', 'Idiotest', 'The Chase', 'Chain Reaction', 'Steampunk'd'

Last week's renewal odds

Skin Wars

Already renewed for a ten-episode third season. Not going away unless GSN falls off the face of the planet.

Chance of renewal: 100% (flat)


Casting for a third season through GSN directly.

Chance of renewal: 95% (flat)

The Chase

It should do well enough for renewable numbers in its new Friday night timeslot (starting November 6th). There are other factors for renewal for The Chase, remember, and that is unfortunate.

Chance of renewal: 60% (flat)

Chain Reaction

Between pretty bad numbers for new episodes since summer ended and reruns of Chain Reaction getting pulled from the schedule in two primetime slots over the next two weeks, it's not looking good for the future (at least on GSN). Either Chain Reaction is getting sent into syndication in 2016-17, or it's another one and done.

Chance of renewal (for GSN only): 40% (down 5% from last week)


It's still interesting. The total viewer numbers week after week still stink but the 18-49's are impressive. Plus, both 18-49 and total viewer figures have been on the rise since the beginning of September. Every week since premiere, Steampunk'd is the youngest-skewing GSN original and most of the time the youngest-skewing show of the entire week for the ratings we see.

Finale this week. Steampunk'd may have a future of some sort beyond that. Just stick whatever GSN makes out of Steampunk'd in 2016 after Skin Wars and it will perform much better.

Chance of renewal (for an entire second season): 25% (flat)
Chance of mini-series/special in 2016: 80% (flat)

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