Monday, July 20, 2015

Renewal odds 7/20/15: 'The Chase', 'Skin Wars', 'Idiotest' and 'Chain Reaction'

The Chase 

The Chase shoots up to most likely to be renewed for another season out of all current GSN originals. Not only was this summer's premiere (last Thursday) up 35% from last summer's premiere, but also the 18-49 audience was very strong. Last Thursday's episode had 668,000 total viewers and 181,000 18-49 viewers, while the Season 4 premiere had 749,000 total viewers but only 132,000 18-49 viewers. The Chase is skewing younger this time around.

Chance of renewal: 99% (flat)

Skin Wars 

Skin Wars hit a season low in last week's airing (516,000 total viewers; 162,000 18-49 viewers), but that's nothing dramatic. In five episodes now, Skin Wars has averaged 613,000 total viewers and 216,000 18-49 viewers, very very strong for GSN.

Chance of renewal: 99% (flat)


No concerns for Idiotest last week. 330K/114K (total/18-49) at 10pm to 375K/131K at 10:30pm for the Idiotest new runs last Wednesday. A fall from Skin Wars but the rise-and not a fall-is a promising sign. Plus, the 18-49's are strong compared to Chain Reaction.

Chance of renewal: 99% (flat)

Chain Reaction 

A very strong debut in total viewers for Chain Reaction last Thursday (550K and 517K) and not too large of a drop from strong lead-in The Chase. The 18-49's were slightly weak and I don't remember in recent years when an original that high in total viewers skewed this old. 

Take into account this Chain Reaction premiere is higher rated in total viewers than Idiotest last summer but much lower in 18-49's. 

Chance of renewal: 55% (flat)

1 comment:

  1. Here's how I would have gave everything you listed:

    Idiotest 0%

    Chain Reaction 69%

    The Chase: 78%

    Source: pulling these numbers out of my ass. At least I admit that is what I am doing. Scott would never admit that. NEVER.