The order, once again, is from most chance for renewal to least:
We have heard word of the premiere date for new episodes, Thursday, July 16th. It has only been a four month hiatus and The Chase has still appeared twice a week on the GSN schedule. Ratings should return strong but not record-breaking. Just 5 more weeks until new episodes.
Chance of renewal: 99% (flat)
GSN loves Skin Wars. They have put every effort into this show, including bold and unique advertising. I do not see Skin Wars completely crashing but I have predicted that ratings may fall off a little bit for this second season from the first. Even if ratings do decline, GSN will do anything to reboot the show and bring Skin Wars back for a third season.
Chance of renewal (for Season 3): 90%
Last week, Idiotest put up strong numbers. Over ten weeks, Idiotest has averaged 378,000 total viewers. This number is actually up 3% from the first ten weeks of the first season (which averaged 367,000 total viewers). GSN seems to love Idiotest anyway, surrounding their #1 show (Skin Wars) with new runs of Idiotest starting this week.
Chance of renewal: 90% (up 5% from last week)
Baggage On The Road
Chance of renewal: 1% (flat)
It Takes a Church
Renewal odds history: 60% (3/23), 45% (3/30), 50% (4/6), 35% (4/13), 35% (4/20), 25% (4/27), 10% (5/4), 10% (5/11), 1% (5/18), 1% (5/25), 1% (6/1).
Renewal odds history: 45% (4/20), 1% (4/27), 1% (5/4), 1% (5/11), 1% (5/18), 1% (5/25), 1% (6/1).