Monday, May 25, 2015

Renewal odds 5/25/15: 'The Chase', 'Idiotest', 'Baggage On The Road', 'It Takes a Church', 'Lie Detectors'

Last week's renewal odds

The Chase

No changes, but GSN could use some new episodes on the schedule soon with primetime averages down.

Chance of renewal: 99%


Well, Idiotest did not just have one bad week but two in a row. The second time around for last week's episodes (on 5/20) at least out-performed the prior week's episodes and also rose from half-hour to half-hour. Plus, the 18-49's (60K and 70K) were pretty good considering the not so great total viewer numbers (266K and 269K).

Idiotest still has a strong chance for renewal, considering GSN has no other current original(s) now that are good for rerun use. The Chase and Skin Wars are the only other two originals that really work for GSN right now, but in new runs and not new runs and reruns like Idiotest continues to. In other words, Idiotest would not have as high of a chance of renewal if GSN actually had several shows that work.

Chance of renewal: 85% (flat)

Baggage On The Road

Despite its timeslot move in January, I really do not see why GSN is completely crossing Jerry out. It's an original that worked for GSN while most recently, Lie Detectors and It Takes a Church have bombed out ten times worse than BOTR ever did. While maybe this reboot was not as great as the original, new episodes of Baggage would probably work great post-Skin Wars.

Chance of renewal: 5% (flat)

It Takes a Church

No changes. No word from GSN on anything.

Chance of renewal: 1% (flat)

Lie Detectors

Did you see the numbers last week? 132K total viewers and 28K 18-49 viewers in a primetime hour. Those make the most recent numbers from It Takes a Church and Idiotest look fantastic.

Chance of renewal: 1% (flat)

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