Monday, January 19, 2015

Renewal odds #3: 'Idiotest', 'Baggage On The Road', 'The Chase' (and a bonus)


Poorer-than-usual ratings this past week don't really matter. Idiotest has had that second season since October.

Chance of renewal (for Season 2): 100%

Baggage On The Road

Baggage On The Road really crashed and burned in its second week and the change to the "Mind of a Man" timeslot, also referred to as the burn-off timeslot dramatically drops the odds. It does not look good for renewal for what looks to be GSN's fourth revival failure in less than four years.

Chance of renewal (for Season 2): 10% (down a big 25% from prior week)

The Chase

Nothing has changed. Exact same as the past two times. We'll see how the new season premieres in just over a week, on January 27th.

Chance of renewal (for Season 5): 85%

Bonus: Any other upcoming GSN original

Any other GSN original that will make it to air later this year, whether Steampunk'd, Hellavator or App Wars, already has a better chance of renewal now that Baggage On The Road has crashed. GSN needs to fill up 21 hours of primetime space and they're not going to do it with only Steve Harvey's Family Feud.


  1. A little off-topic, but my guess is that the "renewal" chances for GSN's weekday morning oldies block just shriveled big time. Fremantle is launching a classic game show channel as a multicast operation on Fox stations this summer. This may spell the final doom for the oldies on GSN.

    The channel will be called BuzzrTV. Rumors about this have been kicking around forever, but it's finally going to happen. GSN execs probably figure that oldies fans can go to that channel for their fix. So I expect that weekday mornings on GSN will sooner or later look pretty much like weekend mornings.

    1. So BuzzrTV is a 24/7 cable channel just like GSN you're saying?

  2. Hypothetical #3...Say another network came along and GSN lost the rights to Harvey Feud. What will they fill 6-10 hours a day with?

    1. Well, at least you're not letting go of the dream. But sorry to mention reality: a couple of other networks have already come along and gotten Harvey Feud. GSN still has the rights. And they'll pay just about anything to keep them, as long as Steve keeps producing the numbers.

      Meanwhile, the old shows are doomed on GSN, in my opinion. They've been going away for a while, and this oldies network is the last nail.

    2. By the way, the Hollywood Reporter story on the new subchannel says that Harvey Feud will "eventually" be added to BuzzrTV. You can't escape him!

    3. Once again, not looking for GSN to fail, but a little variety would be nice. I'm as excited as a child in a wagon going down a hill about the news of a majority classic game channel.

  3. One more note from my blog...

    More wild-blue speculation. Maybe this new competitor to GSN - that's what it is, after all - will finally spur Sony to put modern-day Wheel of Fortune on their own game show network. Things are getting interesting in our little genre. It's good for this blog's business!

  4. People have craved for classic game shows forever from GSN, so with Buzzrtv launching this summer from the Fox owned affiliates, their dream will now become a reality. Listen to these shows that are rumored to be on there:

    Family Feud (classic episodes, maybe modern)
    Match Game

    Check out the article from Variety. That is where I got it from.

  5. "Family Feud (classic episodes, maybe modern)"

    Ain't no "maybe" about it. Karn and O'Hurley are already on the network, and Harvey will eventually be there, as Hollywood Reporter notes. Buzzr TV will soon learn - or already knows - that you can't build a viable game show network solely, or even mostly, on oldies. If this channel is going to compete with GSN at all, I would expect Harvey Feud and recent TPiR on the schedule.

    This has got to be the biggest news to hit GSN in a while. It's not the best news...who likes competition? But it may spur some change at the network, which had gotten complacent as the only game show net in town.

  6. I wonder if this is just Goodson Todman shows, or they will get more that the two weren't involved in. I would like to see classic Squares on the network. And you are right, Casey, it can't just be oldies all day every day, modern is good too. Funny, I like to think of Harvey Feud being everywhere. Once you turn around, Steve is looking straight at you. Hell, Disney Channel might as well pick it up, since Disney Channel used to be the Miley Cyrus network. What I meant by that was that Hannah Montana when it was on, it was the Harvey Feud of that channel.

  7. I made some calls and sent a few emails today. I've only found one top market Fox station that won't be adding this as a subchannel and it's Fox2 in Detroit. The others who replied all plan to come on board at launch date.

  8. It's been over 4 years since WOF aired on GSN. If GSN wanted it, they would have gotten it by now.